Thursday, April 30, 2020

In Which I Bemoan How Bad People Are at Math

As of today, there are over 300,000 reported confirmed covid cases in NY State. Let's assume, extremely conservatively, that only 9 cases go undetected for each person tested.

That is THREE MILLION. Please, tell me how you will fund, and then accomplish in a timely manner, enough contact tracing to make one iota of difference. In a state where public transit ran throughout.

I know it sounds good and makes people feel better, but can nobody do arithmetic?


  1. No, nobody can do arithmetic. Nobody understands probability either. It's bloody irritating.

    1. Like, you don't even need epidemiology here, you can just do some basic arithmetic? And let us not even discuss the availability heuristic.


Comments are moderated, so it may take a day or two to show up. Anonymous comments will be deleted.