Thursday, November 05, 2020

Not to be all doom-saying...

 ... but we have arrived at domestic(ated/farmed) animal reservoirs already.

4 comments:

  1. Anonymous8:39 PM

    It is in cattle in the US as well. At high prevalence once in a herd. Unclear of effects (I’m unclear, not sure if known yet), not as rapaciously fatal as in mink.
    Do you think animal reservoirs mean COVID forevermore? Or were we already at that point? (By forevermore I mean seasonally targeted vaccines and a COVID season with the flu, not pandemic on-going)
    ~Labmonkey

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    1. I do pretty much think they mean COVID forever, and that we were basically already there and were always going to get there. It is literally not containable anywhere for 18 months unless you're New Zealand. (Though it could have been a lot BETTER contained!) I think there were animal reservoirs well before this, of course. Obviously mink/ferrets (a literal ILI/vaccine model! We can give them colds!) are the worst reservoir.

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  2. I feel like I should have already known what animal reservoirs meant but now I do. And ... sigh.

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    Replies
    1. I mean, it was pretty predictable from my POV: not lethal enough to kill all the hosts (like SARS-1), widespread enough that you'll get cycling transmission through animal reservoirs...

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